SwimSwam Pulse: 42.8% Think Texas Missing Top 4 A Bigger Upset Than ASU, Florida Wins

SwimSwam Pulse is a recurring feature tracking and analyzing the results of our periodic A3 Performance Polls. You can cast your vote in our newest poll on the SwimSwam homepage, about halfway down the page on the right side.

Our most recent poll asked SwimSwam readers which of these options would be the most surprising outcome at the Men’s NCAA Championships:

Question: Which would outcome would be the bigger “upset” at men’s NCAAs?


  • Texas out of the top 4 – 42.8%
  • ASU wins the title – 31.2%
  • Florida wins the title – 25.9%

After so many years of Texas and Cal going 1-2 in one order or the other, any other outcome at Men’s NCAAs would feel like a significant disruption of the norm and a changing of the guard of sorts.

A change from the usual top-two felt like a near certainty prior to the start of the competition when looking at the scored psych sheets, which had Texas down in seventh place, and although no one actually thought they would finish that low, climbing up into first or second didn’t seem as though it was in the cards.

Not only was Cal looking like a juggernaut well on its way to a second straight title, Arizona State and Florida had rounded out their rosters and were a close second and third behind the Bears in the psych sheet scores.

Texas missing a top four (or even top three) finish would feel like a massive upset, as along with Cal, ASU and Florida, NC State and Indiana also figured to be competitive in the top of the team race. At the same time, a win for anyone other than the Bears, such as ASU or Florida, would also be fairly unexpected—mostly due to the fact it hasn’t happened in recent memory.

In our most recent poll, 42.8 percent of readers believe Texas missing the top four would be a bigger upset than ASU (31.2%) or Florida (25.9%) winning the championship.

Perhaps the biggest “upset” of them all would be Cal not winning, which in essence is what 57.1 percent voted for by virtue of them selecting the ASU and Florida victory options.

As we enter the third night of finals in Minneapolis, this is how the team standings currently sit:

  1. Cal – 184
  2. Texas – 165
  3. ASU – 154
  4. NC State – 151.5
  5. Florida – 145

This is how things look when adding the projected prelim scores from Day 3:

  1. Cal – 288
  2. Texas – 269.5
  3. ASU – 264
  4. Florida – 214.5
  5. Indiana – 212.5
  6. NC State – 211.5

Texas has performed above expectations thus far and is right in the thick of the battle. Cal is very strong on the final day, but the Longhorns are proving everyone right—a Texas finish out of one of the top spots is just not in their DNA.

Below, vote in our new A3 Performance Pollwhich asks: Which record set women’s NCAAs will stand the longest:

Which record set at women's NCAAs will stand the longest?

View Results

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A3 Performance is an independently-owned, performance swimwear company built on a passion for swimming, athletes, and athletic performance. We encourage swimmers to swim better and faster at all ages and levels, from beginners to Olympians.  Driven by a genuine leader and devoted staff that are passionate about swimming and service, A3 Performance strives to inspire and enrich the sport of swimming with innovative and impactful products that motivate swimmers to be their very best – an A3 Performer.

The A3 Performance Poll is courtesy of A3 Performance, a SwimSwam partner.

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2 days ago

Texas has surprised nearly every session with positive points over seeds.

Bear Alum
2 days ago

With a Top 2 Finish for Cal, Durden will break the record held by Mike Mann (Mich) of consecutive years finishing either 1st or 2nd with 13 straight seasons, not including the canceled 2020 season. Mann did it from 1937-1948 for reference.

Demarrit Steenbergen
Reply to  Bear Alum
2 days ago

The truest legend and most underrated coach in History. He truly was (pardon me) the man.

Last edited 2 days ago by Demarrit Steenbergen
2 days ago

not the 100 back simply bc Gretchen is only a sophomore still but I think it’s very arguably the strongest swim on the list

Demarrit Steenbergen
Reply to  jeff
2 days ago

Same with 50 free

2 days ago

Backhanded compliment for Texas

About James Sutherland

James Sutherland

James swam five years at Laurentian University in Sudbury, Ontario, specializing in the 200 free, back and IM. He finished up his collegiate swimming career in 2018, graduating with a bachelor's degree in economics. In 2019 he completed his graduate degree in sports journalism. Prior to going to Laurentian, James swam …

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